Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.986326 1.150377 1.326825 1.529975 1.756644 2.001015 2.283612
2025-05-11 0.708971 0.935663 1.202473 1.535938 1.937607 2.401842 2.974709
2025-05-18 0.534421 0.791761 1.120536 1.561894 2.128631 2.821365 3.720526
2025-05-25 0.394724 0.655251 1.015312 1.531515 2.233051 3.132832 4.351203
2025-06-01 0.310420 0.572330 0.960815 1.550426 2.390816 3.511941 5.082232
2025-06-08 0.241973 0.495435 0.898187 1.543151 2.503417 3.830360 5.744929
2025-06-15 0.206438 0.462697 0.894236 1.616310 2.729471 4.310669 6.644881
2025-06-22 0.171853 0.422760 0.870711 1.653176 2.900381 4.718604 7.460452
2025-06-29 0.134884 0.368383 0.812831 1.625589 2.966975 4.975314 8.069822
2025-07-06 0.112508 0.337556 0.790686 1.652401 3.116634 5.357568 8.871585
2025-07-13 0.093482 0.308651 0.766806 1.671813 3.252895 5.723118 9.660427
2025-07-20 0.078378 0.284521 0.747847 1.696500 3.397090 6.104753 10.484931
2025-07-27 0.062976 0.255347 0.715139 1.694773 3.500914 6.435761 11.259030
2025-08-03 0.048107 0.221902 0.667208 1.658449 3.542244 6.670340 11.897521
2025-08-10 0.038748 0.201168 0.643855 1.667316 3.663070 7.037837 12.755733
2025-08-17 0.029007 0.174099 0.599613 1.627341 3.690746 7.251572 13.377925
2025-08-24 0.023472 0.159493 0.583313 1.643644 3.822241 7.642117 14.292773
2025-08-31 0.018185 0.142551 0.557058 1.634495 3.903526 7.949375 15.081849
2025-09-07 0.016137 0.139270 0.568095 1.710302 4.153419 8.555630 16.376618
2025-09-14 0.013465 0.131091 0.563262 1.748519 4.330778 9.041394 17.486284
2025-09-21 0.009977 0.115319 0.531789 1.719560 4.370876 9.286002 18.201565
2025-09-28 0.008119 0.107686 0.524179 1.747514 4.527833 9.743494 19.285646
2025-10-05 0.006488 0.099852 0.514043 1.767766 4.669386 10.177480 20.341011